Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 48.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 48.92% ( | 26.95% ( | 24.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.38% ( | 58.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.82% ( | 79.18% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% ( | 24.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.64% ( | 58.36% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.87% ( | 40.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.23% ( | 76.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 13.75% ( 2-0 @ 9.8% ( 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 4-1 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0-0 @ 9.66% ( 2-2 @ 4.08% ( Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 1.34% Total : 24.14% |