Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.