Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 37.61% ( | 24.21% ( | 38.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.1% ( | 41.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.7% ( | 64.31% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( | 22.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.31% | 55.69% ( |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.03% ( | 21.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.74% ( | 55.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 3-1 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 3-0 @ 2.77% ( 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.45% Total : 37.61% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 3-3 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 4.26% ( 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 38.17% |