Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 11.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.