La Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2023 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Jorgen Strand Larsen 3' goal
  • Iago Aspas 67' yellowcard
  • Renato Tapia 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Toni Kroos 71'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 81'
  • yellowcard Antonio Rudiger 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Nacho 90'+6'

Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 19, 2023 4.00pm
Real Sociedad 1 - 1 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Jorgen Strand Larsen

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Aug 19, 2023 6.30pm
Almeria 1 - 3 Real Madrid
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Jude Bellingham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result

Celta Vigo 26.01% (+0.05)
Draw 25.32% (+0.03)
Real Madrid 48.67% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.8% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.8% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 51.2% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 26.96% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 73.04% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 12.62% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 87.38% (+0.05)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 65.61% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 34.38% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 28.91% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 71.09% (-0.01)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 78.94% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 21.05% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 46.14% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 53.85% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 26.01%
Draw 25.31%
Real Madrid 48.66%
Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 7.73% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.43% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.13% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.29% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.47% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 26.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.04% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.24% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 25.31%
Real Madrid
0-1 @ 11.27% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.38% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.79% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.87% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.56% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 48.66%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 22, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Marco Asensio 42' goal
  • Eder Militao 48' goal
La Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2022 9.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Renato Tapia 13' yellowcard
  • Iago Aspas 23' goal
  • Hugo Mallo 85' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Benzema 14'
  • goal Luka Modric 41'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 56'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 65'
  • goal Federico Valverde 66'
  • yellowcard David Alaba 68'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 2, 2022 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Javi Galan 36' yellowcard
  • Thiago Galhardo 40' yellowcard
  • Nolito 52' goal
  • Jeison Murillo 57' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Benzema 19'
  • goal Karim Benzema 69'
La Liga Gameweek 4
Sep 12, 2021 8.00pm
5
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Karim Benzema 24' goal
  • Nacho 32' yellowcard
  • Karim Benzema 46' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 54' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 55' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Camavinga 72' goal
  • Karim Benzema 87' goal
  • goal Santi Mina 4'
  • goal Franco Cervi 31'
  • yellowcard Jeison Murillo 43'
  • yellowcard Nestor Araujo 63'
  • yellowcard Augusto Solari 63'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Mar 20, 2021 3.15pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Renato Tapia 25' yellowcard
  • Santi Mina 40' goal
  • Denis Suarez 78' yellowcard
  • Augusto Solari 85' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Benzema 20'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 22'
  • goal Karim Benzema 30'
  • yellowcard Toni Kroos 39'
  • yellowcard Nacho 70'
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 80'
  • goal Marco Asensio 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 2, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lucas Vazquez 6' goal
  • Marco Asensio 38' yellowcard
  • Nacho 50' yellowcard
  • Marco Asensio 53' goal
  • Dani Carvajal 84' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brais Mendez 10'
  • yellowcard Renato Tapia 42'

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