La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 25, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio de Balaidos

Celta Vigo
0 - 1
Real Madrid

Strand Larsen (3')
Aspas (67'), Tapia (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bellingham (81')
Kroos (71'), Nacho (90+6'), Rudiger (90+3')

Reaction

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Aug 26, 13:56

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, August 19 at 4pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Almeria 1-3 Real Madrid
Saturday, August 19 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Real Madrid
26.01% ( 0.05)	25.32% ( 0.03)	48.67% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 51.8% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.8% (

-0.07)

51.2% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.96% (

-0.06)

73.04% (

0.06)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.61% (

-0)

34.38% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.91% (

-0)

71.09% (

-0)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.94% (

-0.06)

21.05% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.14% (

-0.1)

53.85% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 26.01%

Real Madrid 48.66%

Draw 25.31%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 26.01%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 48.66%