La Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Aurelien Tchouameni 33' yellowcard
  • Federico Valverde 46' goal
  • Joselu 60' goal
  • Fran Garcia 71' yellowcard
  • David Alaba 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Ander Barrenetxea 5'
  • yellowcard Mikel Merino 68'
  • yellowcard Hamari Traore 77'

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2023 3.15pm
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Getafe
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Jude Bellingham

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2023 1.00pm
Real Sociedad 5 - 3 Granada
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Mikel Oyarzabal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result

Real Madrid 44.91% (-0.49)
Draw 27.08% (+0.39)
Real Sociedad 28.01% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.07% (-1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.23% (-1.37)
Under 2.5 56.77% (+1.37)
Over 3.5 22.29% (-1.12)
Under 3.5 77.71% (+1.11)
Over 4.5 9.68% (-0.68)
Under 4.5 90.32% (+0.68)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 74.82% (-0.85)
Under 0.5 25.18% (+0.85)
Over 1.5 40.1% (-1.19)
Under 1.5 59.9% (+1.19)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 64.25% (-0.66)
Under 0.5 35.75% (+0.66)
Over 1.5 27.48% (-0.68)
Under 1.5 72.52% (+0.68)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 44.9%
Draw 27.08%
Real Sociedad 28.01%
Real Madrid
1-0 @ 12.41% (+0.34)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 8.56% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.05% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.13)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.10)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 44.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.77% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 9% (+0.47)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.08%
Real Sociedad
0-1 @ 9.26% (+0.32)
1-2 @ 6.57% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.76% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.08)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 28.01%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 33
May 2, 2023 9.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Reale Arena
  • Takefusa Kubo 47' goal
  • Ander Barrenetxea 85' goal
La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 29, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
La Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 5, 2022 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Eduardo Camavinga 40' goal
  • Luka Modric 43' goal
  • Karim Benzema 76' goal
  • Marco Asensio 79' goal
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 10'
  • yellowcard Joseba Zaldua 58'
  • yellowcard Mikel Merino 81'
La Liga Gameweek 16
Dec 4, 2021 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Igor Zubeldia 26' yellowcard
  • Adnan Januzaj 60' yellowcard
  • goal Vinicius Junior 47'
  • goal Luka Jovic 57'
La Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 1, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Vinicius Junior 89' goal
  • goal Portu 55'
  • yellowcard Andoni Gorosabel 76'
La Liga Gameweek 2
Sep 20, 2020 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ander Barrenetxea 24' yellowcard
  • Aihen Munoz 33' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ferland Mendy 29'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 83'