Champions League
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Leo Skiri Oestigaard
19'
-
Natan
45'
-
Piotr Zielinski
54'
-
Vinicius Junior
27'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
29'
-
Jude Bellingham
34'
-
Jude Bellingham
70'
-
Alex Meret
78'
(OG)
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Kepa Arrizabalaga
89'
Napoli vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Result
Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result
Napoli
43.81%
▲
(+0.68)
Draw
23.45%
▼
(-0.49)
Real Madrid
32.74%
▼
(-0.20)
Both Teams to Score:
62.48%
▲
(+1.72)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.89%
▲
(+2.28)
Under 2.5
39.11%
▼
(-2.29)
Over 3.5
38.56%
▲
(+2.35)
Under 3.5
61.43%
▼
(-2.36)
Over 4.5
20.99%
▲
(+1.82)
Under 4.5
79%
▼
(-1.83)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
81.77%
▲
(+1.22)
Under 0.5
18.22%
▼
(-1.22)
Over 1.5
50.75%
▲
(+2.04)
Under 1.5
49.25%
▼
(-2.04)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
76.41%
▲
(+0.98)
Under 0.5
23.58%
▼
(-0.98)
Over 1.5
42.34%
▲
(+1.39)
Under 1.5
57.65%
▼
(-1.40)
Score analysis
Napoli
43.81%
Draw
23.45%
Real Madrid
32.74%
Napoli
2-1
@
9%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.51)
2-0 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.25)
3-0 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.17)
4-2 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.16)
4-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 43.81%
1-0 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.51)
2-0 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.25)
3-0 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.17)
4-2 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.16)
4-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 43.81%
Draw
1-1
@
10.57%
▼
(-0.42)
2-2 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.19)
0-0 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.48)
3-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.45%
2-2 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.19)
0-0 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.48)
3-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.45%
Real Madrid
1-2
@
7.63%
▼
(-0.08)
0-1 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.50)
0-2 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.23)
1-3 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.18)
0-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.07)
2-4 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 32.74%
0-1 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.50)
0-2 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.23)
1-3 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.18)
0-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.07)
2-4 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 32.74%
Head to Head
Champions League
-
Dries Mertens
24'
-
Allan
55'
-
Amadou Diawara
89'
-
Sergio Ramos
52'
-
Dries Mertens
57'
(OG)
-
Alvaro Morata
91'
Champions League
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Sergio Ramos
17'
-
Karim Benzema
18'
-
Toni Kroos
49'
-
Luka Modric
52'
-
Casemiro
54'
-
Lorenzo Insigne
8'
-
Piotr Zielinski
38'
-
Dries Mertens
76'
Build-up
News
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