Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Girona had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 30.69% ( | 25.34% ( | 43.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.35% ( | 48.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.24% ( | 70.76% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.46% ( | 29.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.44% ( | 65.56% ( |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.9% ( | 22.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.55% ( | 55.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 2-0 @ 4.85% ( 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 3-0 @ 1.97% ( 4-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.69% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0-2 @ 7.44% ( 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0-3 @ 3.75% ( 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 2-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 43.97% |