Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Girona in this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Girona |
| 46.62% ( | 23.47% ( | 29.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.45% ( | 40.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.07% ( | 62.93% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% ( | 17.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.7% ( | 48.29% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.99% ( | 26.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.96% ( | 61.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Girona |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 1-0 @ 7.97% ( 2-0 @ 6.9% ( 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 3-0 @ 3.99% ( 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 4-2 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 3.85% Total : 46.62% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 3-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0-1 @ 6.19% ( 0-2 @ 4.17% ( 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 2-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.91% |