Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Girona in this match.