Potential new EL header

Europa League

Panathinaikos
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Apostolos Nikolaidis
Villarreal logo

Panathinaikos
2 - 0
Villarreal

Ioannidis (38'), Sporar (78')
Cantalapiedra (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Femenia (64'), Sorloth (74'), Baena (84'), Pedraza (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Panathinaikos and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panathinaikos

All competitions
Last Game: Panetolikos 0-5 Panathinaikos
Saturday, September 16 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague

Villarreal

All competitions
Last Game: Villarreal 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, September 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.

Result
PanathinaikosDrawVillarreal
36.85% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)25.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)37.3% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.76% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.5% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)49.5% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.46% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)71.54% (0.027999999999992 0.03)
Panathinaikos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.87% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)26.13% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.8% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)61.2% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)25.87% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.15% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)60.85% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Panathinaikos 36.85%
    Villarreal 37.3%
    Draw 25.84%
PanathinaikosDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 9.07% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 36.85%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 9.14% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.74%
0-3 @ 2.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 37.3%

How you voted: Panathinaikos vs Villarreal

Panathinaikos
43.8%
Draw
21.9%
Villarreal
34.4%
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