Europa League
Sep 21, 2023 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Apostolos Nikolaidis
  • Fotis Ioannidis 38' goal
  • Andraz Sporar 78' goal
  • Aitor Cantalapiedra 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kiko Femenia 64'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sorloth 74'
  • yellowcard Alex Baena 84'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Pedraza 87'

Panathinaikos vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Panathinaikos

All competitions

Villarreal

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.

Result

Panathinaikos 36.85% (-0.02)
Draw 25.85% (+0.01)
Villarreal 37.3% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.76% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.5% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 49.5% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.46% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.54% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 13.62% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 86.38% (+0.02)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5 73.87% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 26.13% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 38.8% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 61.2% (+0.04)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 74.13% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 25.87% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 39.15% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 60.85% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Panathinaikos 36.85%
Draw 25.84%
Villarreal 37.3%
Panathinaikos
1-0 @ 9.07% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.09% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.72% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 36.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.76% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.84%
Villarreal
0-1 @ 9.14% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.29% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.18% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.74%
0-3 @ 2.79% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 37.3%