Champions League
Aug 23, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Sikou Niakate 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Abel Ruiz 51' goal
  • Jose Fonte 53' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Djalo 73' goal
  • yellowcard Filip Duricic 8'
  • yellowcard Willian Arao 84'
  • yellowcard Alberto Brignoli 86'
  • goal Daniel Mancini 90'+5'

Braga vs Panathinaikos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Panathinaikos

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result

Braga 54.39% (-0.03)
Draw 23.89% (+0.01)
Panathinaikos 21.72% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.46% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.67% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 49.32% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 28.62% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 71.37% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 13.73%
Under 4.5 86.27% (+0.01)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 81.97% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 18.03% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 51.08% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 48.91% (+0.02)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5 62.78% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 37.21% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 26% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 74% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Braga 54.39%
Draw 23.89%
Panathinaikos 21.72%
Braga
1-0 @ 11.49%
2-0 @ 9.85% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.62% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75%
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 54.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.71% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.81% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 23.89%
Panathinaikos
0-1 @ 6.63% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.62% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.28% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.85% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 21.72%