Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 19, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
2 - 4
Braga

Hernandez (43', 53')
Pinho (3'), Sanca (67')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bruma (16'), Horta (58'), Banza (81'), Pizzi (90+6')
Niakate (2'), Fonte (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-0 Chaves
Sunday, August 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Backa Topola 1-4 Braga
Tuesday, August 15 at 7pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 18.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Braga
18.95% ( -0.17)	22.27% ( -0.08)	58.78% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 52.27% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.89% (

0.11)

46.1% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.6% (

0.1)

68.4% (

-0.1)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.75% (

-0.13)

38.25% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.99% (

-0.12)

75% (

0.12)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.65% (

0.12)

15.34% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.89% (

0.23)

44.1% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Chaves 18.95%

Braga 58.76%

Draw 22.27%

Chaves	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 18.95%	1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.27%	0-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.3% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.44% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.19% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 3.02% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 58.76%