Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 20, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
1 - 0
Chaves

Sylla (63' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 2-0 Arouca
Monday, May 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, May 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Chaves
32.27% ( 0.03)	27.14% ( -0)	40.59% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 49.85% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.57% (

0.03)

55.43% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.38% (

0.02)

76.63% (

-0.02)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.11% (

0.04)

31.89% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.66% (

0.04)

68.34% (

-0.04)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.19% (

-0)

26.81% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.9% (

-0)

62.1% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Arouca 32.27%

Chaves 40.58%

Draw 27.14%

Arouca	Draw	Chaves
1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.27%	1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.14%	0-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 40.58%