Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Chaves |
| 43.05% ( | 27.17% ( | 29.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.79% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.68% ( | 56.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.65% ( | 77.35% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.08% ( | 25.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.09% ( | 60.91% ( |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.86% ( | 34.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.17% ( | 70.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Chaves |
| 1-0 @ 11.94% ( 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 4-0 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 43.04% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 2-2 @ 4.66% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 2-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 29.78% |