Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Chaves |
43.05% ( -0.68) | 27.17% ( 0.38) | 29.78% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 48.79% ( -0.97) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.68% ( -1.31) | 56.32% ( 1.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.65% ( -1.07) | 77.35% ( 1.07) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.08% ( -0.94) | 25.92% ( 0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.09% ( -1.29) | 60.91% ( 1.29) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.86% ( -0.46) | 34.14% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.17% ( -0.5) | 70.83% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.19% Total : 43.04% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.3% Total : 29.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 8 | 32 | 33 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 11 |
15 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Nacional | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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