Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Apr 8, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio da Capital do Móvel

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 3
Famalicao

Infande (34')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cadiz (41'), Jaime (70', 87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pacos de Ferreira

All competitions

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, April 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Famalicao 0-1 Arouca
Monday, April 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Famalicao
34.92% ( -0.18)	27.08% ( -0.02)	37.99% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 50.57% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.23% (

0.04)

54.77% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.92% (

0.04)

76.08% (

-0.03)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.19% (

-0.09)

29.81% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.11% (

-0.11)

65.89% (

0.11)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.04% (

0.14)

27.95% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.41% (

0.17)

63.58% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 34.92%

Famalicao 37.99%

Draw 27.08%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 34.92%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.08%	0-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 37.99%