Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 21.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 51.92% ( | 26.24% ( | 21.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.95% ( | 58.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.27% ( | 78.73% ( |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.52% ( | 22.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.97% ( | 56.03% ( |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.94% ( | 42.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.51% ( | 78.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 1-0 @ 14.11% ( 2-0 @ 10.53% ( 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 3-0 @ 5.24% ( 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 4-1 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 51.92% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 2-2 @ 3.95% ( Other @ 0.62% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 1.12% Total : 21.84% |