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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Pacos de Ferreira logo

Guimaraes
0 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira


Silva (40'), Safira (45+1')
FT

de Brito Gonzaga (6'), Pires (45+1'), Delgado (49'), Marafona (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last Game: Benfica 5-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, March 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Pacos de Ferreira

All competitions
Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, March 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Pacos de Ferreira

 With nine games to go before the end of the 2022-23 Primeira Liga campaign, Pacos de Ferreira have little time to salvage their season. While Vitoria de Guimaraes have run out of steam in recent weeks, they have been solid on home turf, where they have won three of their last four matches. With that said, we anticipate a close contest at the Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques, with the hosts claiming a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 21.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPacos de Ferreira
51.92% (0.102 0.1) 26.24% (0.044 0.04) 21.84% (-0.149 -0.15)
Both teams to score 44.91% (-0.288 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.95% (-0.285 -0.28)58.05% (0.282 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.27% (-0.225 -0.23)78.73% (0.221 0.22)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)22.48% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.97% (-0.111 -0.11)56.03% (0.108 0.11)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.94% (-0.315 -0.31)42.06% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.51% (-0.275 -0.27)78.49% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 51.92%
    Pacos de Ferreira 21.84%
    Draw 26.24%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 14.11% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 10.53% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.24% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 51.92%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 9.45% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 8.19% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.29% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.55% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 21.84%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Pacos de Ferreira

Vitoria de Guimaraes
88.9%
Draw
0.0%
Pacos de Ferreira
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 8.30pm
Pacos de Ferreira
0-1
Guimaraes

Pires (11')
Luz (9')
Apr 15, 2022 8.30pm
Guimaraes
4-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Silva (6' pen.), Duarte (45', 67'), Lameiras (86' pen.)

Antunes (33'), Carlos (38'), Butzke (46'), Ferreira (68')
Carlos (64')
Dec 4, 2021 8.30pm
Pacos de Ferreira
1-2
Guimaraes
Denilson (34')
de Brito Gonzaga (40'), Pedro (88')
Estupinan (70'), Duarte (90')
Ferreira (4'), Duarte (40'), Borevkovic (88'), Varela (90+4')
Feb 21, 2021 3pm
Pacos de Ferreira
2-1
Guimaraes
Pedro (33'), Ferreira (62')
Estupinan (23')
Sacko (70'), Pepelu (82')
Oct 2, 2020 9.15pm
Guimaraes
1-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Andre (83' pen.)
Suliman (75'), Silvio (79'), Duarte (88'), Varela (90+2')

Marcelo (68'), Baixinho (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1311024083233
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense136251918120
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
10Casa Pia133551117-614
11Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
12Gil Vicente133461624-813
13Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
14BoavistaBoavista13256816-811
15AVS132561021-1111
16Nacional12237717-109
17SC FarenseFarense13238719-129
18AroucaArouca13229723-168
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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