Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Chaves |
| 28.88% ( | 26.96% ( | 44.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.09% ( | 55.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.99% ( | 77.01% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.4% ( | 34.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.67% ( | 71.32% ( |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( | 25.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.11% ( | 59.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Chaves |
| 1-0 @ 9.24% ( 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 2-0 @ 4.9% ( 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 3-2 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 28.88% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 2-2 @ 4.67% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 12.01% ( 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0-2 @ 8.29% ( 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0-3 @ 3.81% ( 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0-4 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 44.15% |