Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vizela in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vizela.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Vizela |
28.38% ( 0.15) | 27.45% ( 0.06) | 44.17% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 47.25% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.07% ( -0.14) | 57.93% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.37% ( -0.11) | 78.63% ( 0.11) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.92% ( 0.05) | 36.08% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.13% ( 0.05) | 72.87% ( -0.05) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.92% ( -0.17) | 26.08% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.87% ( -0.23) | 61.12% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 28.38% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 12.64% 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 8 | 32 | 33 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 11 |
15 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Nacional | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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