Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vizela in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vizela.