Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Chaves |
39.6% ( 0.17) | 26.49% ( -0.1) | 33.9% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 52.29% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.48% ( 0.42) | 52.52% ( -0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.82% ( 0.36) | 74.18% ( -0.35) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74% ( 0.29) | 26% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.98% ( 0.39) | 61.02% ( -0.38) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.66% ( 0.17) | 29.34% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.68% ( 0.2) | 65.32% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.92% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 39.59% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |