Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 29, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
1 - 0
Casa Pia

Vitoria (42')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Santa Clara 1-1 Chaves
Sunday, April 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Braga
Friday, April 21 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Casa Pia
34.53% ( 0.03)	25.59% ( 0.01)	39.88% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 55.39% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.41% (

-0.04)

48.58% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.29% (

-0.03)

70.7% (

0.03)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.95% (

27.05% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.58% (

-0)

62.41% (

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.93% (

-0.04)

24.07% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.65% (

-0.05)

58.34% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Chaves 34.53%

Casa Pia 39.88%

Draw 25.59%

Chaves	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.53%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 9.27% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.88%