Primeira Liga
Gameweek
30
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Steven Vitoria
42'
Chaves vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.
Result
Chaves
34.53%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
25.59%
▲
(+0.01)
Casa Pia
39.88%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
55.39%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.41%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
48.58%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
29.29%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
70.7%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
14.18%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
85.81%
▲
(+0.03)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5
72.95%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
27.05%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
37.58%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
62.41%
▲
(+0.01)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5
75.93%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
24.07%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
41.65%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
58.34%
▲
(+0.06)
Score analysis
Chaves
34.53%
Draw
25.59%
Casa Pia
39.88%
Chaves
1-0
@
8.51%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 34.53%
2-1 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 34.53%
Draw
1-1
@
12.12%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.59%
0-0 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.59%
Casa Pia
0-1
@
9.27%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.63% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.6% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 39.88%
1-2 @ 8.63% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.6% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 39.88%