Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 21, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia
0 - 1
Braga

FT(HT: 0-0)

Horta (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, April 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 1-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, April 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 17.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 2-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Braga
17.64% ( 0.01)	20.79% ( 0.01)	61.57% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.73% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.37% (

-0.01)

41.62% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.97% (

-0.01)

64.02% (

0.01)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.92% (

0.01)

37.07% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.14% (

0.01)

73.86% (

-0.01)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.98% (

-0.01)

13.02% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.44% (

-0.02)

39.56% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 17.64%

Braga 61.57%

Draw 20.79%

Casa Pia	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 4.84% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.79% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.38% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-1 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 17.64%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.79%	0-2 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.82% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.77% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.48% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.36% 2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.42% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 61.57%