/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcaslog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fbralog.png)
-
Ricardo Horta
54'
Casa Pia vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F08%2Fbraga.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 17.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 2-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result
Casa Pia
17.64%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
20.79%
▲
(+0.01)
Braga
61.57%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
54.73%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.37%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
41.62%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
35.97%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
64.02%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 4.5
19%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
81%
▲
(+0.02)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5
62.92%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
37.07%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
26.14%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
73.86%
▼
(-0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5
86.98%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
13.02%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
60.44%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
39.56%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Casa Pia
17.64%
Draw
20.79%
Braga
61.57%
Casa Pia
2-1
@
4.84%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.63%
3-1 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 17.64%
1-0 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.63%
3-1 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 17.64%
Draw
1-1
@
9.76%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.79%
2-2 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.79%
Braga
0-2
@
10.03%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-1 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.36%
2-4 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 61.57%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-1 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.36%
2-4 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 61.57%