Primeira Liga
Gameweek
28
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Friolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcaslog.png)
-
Renato Pantalon
52'
-
Rafael Martins
17'
Rio Ave vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F01%2Frio-ave.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result
Rio Ave
40.94%
▲
(+0.25)
Draw
27.12%
▲
(+0.02)
Casa Pia
31.95%
▼
(-0.27)
Both Teams to Score:
49.81%
▼
(-0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.57%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 2.5
55.43%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 3.5
23.38%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 3.5
76.62%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 4.5
10.35%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 4.5
89.66%
▲
(+0.07)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5
73.38%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
26.62%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
38.15%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
61.86%
▼
(-0.11)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5
67.89%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 0.5
32.11%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 1.5
31.41%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 1.5
68.59%
▲
(+0.28)
Score analysis
Rio Ave
40.93%
Draw
27.12%
Casa Pia
31.95%
Rio Ave
1-0
@
11.31%
▲
(+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 40.93%
2-1 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 40.93%
Draw
1-1
@
12.85%
0-0 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.12%
0-0 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.12%
Casa Pia
0-1
@
9.71%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.95%
1-2 @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.95%