Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 16, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
1 - 1
Casa Pia

Pantalon (52')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Martins (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Portimonense 2-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, April 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 3-4 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, April 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Casa Pia
40.94% ( 0.25)	27.12% ( 0.01)	31.95% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 49.81% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.57% (

-0.12)

55.43% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.38% (

-0.1)

76.62% (

0.09)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.38% (

0.08)

26.62% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.15% (

0.1)

61.86% (

-0.1)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.89% (

-0.24)

32.11% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.41% (

-0.27)

68.59% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 40.93%

Casa Pia 31.95%

Draw 27.12%

Rio Ave	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.93%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.12%	0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.95%