Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Apr 8, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Portimão

Portimonense
2 - 2
Rio Ave

Junior (82', 90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Patrick (19'), Costinha (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Porto 1-0 Portimonense
Sunday, April 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 0-1 Benfica
Sunday, April 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Rio Ave
35.4% ( -1.11)	27.58% ( 0.38)	37.03% ( 0.73)

Both teams to score 49.08% (

-1.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.34% (

-1.52)

56.66% (

1.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.38% (

-1.24)

77.62% (

1.24)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.55% (

-1.44)

30.45% (

1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.35% (

-1.74)

66.66% (

1.75)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.56% (

-0.3)

29.44% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.56% (

-0.37)

65.44% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 35.39%

Rio Ave 37.03%

Draw 27.57%

Portimonense	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.39%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.57%	0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.03%