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Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 2, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Portimonense

Porto
1 - 0
Portimonense

Cardoso (30')
Cardoso (34'), Marcano (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ventura (52'), Rochez (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 0-0 Porto
Sunday, March 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 0-1 Vizela
Saturday, March 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 3-0 Portimonense

Porto have suffered a drop-off in form and will head into the weekend in search of a pick-me-up. The Dragoes take on a floundering Portimonense side who have lost their four outings and we predict that they will claim a comfortable home victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 85.42%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 4.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 4-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.81%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (1.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawPortimonense
85.42% (0.046000000000006 0.05) 10.12% (-0.026 -0.03) 4.46% (-0.0229 -0.02)
Both teams to score 42.28% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.9% (0.010000000000005 0.01)30.1% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.69% (0.012 0.01)51.31% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)4.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.41% (0.030000000000001 0.03)19.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.44% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)55.56% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.79% (-0.048 -0.05)88.21% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Porto 85.41%
    Portimonense 4.46%
    Draw 10.12%
PortoDrawPortimonense
3-0 @ 12.44% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 12.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 9.4% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.18%
3-1 @ 7.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 5.68% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 5.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 3.34% (0.0020000000000002 0)
6-0 @ 2.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
7-0 @ 1.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 85.41%
1-1 @ 4.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 10.12%
0-1 @ 1.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 1.41% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 4.46%

How you voted: Porto vs Portimonense

Porto
93.1%
Draw
6.9%
Portimonense
0.0%
29
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 6pm
Apr 16, 2022 8.30pm
Porto
7-0
Portimonense
Taremi (19', 34' pen., 47'), Grujic (28'), Evanilson (40', 60'), Pepe (55')

Aponza (81'), Da Costa (84')
Dec 3, 2021 7pm
Portimonense
0-3
Porto

Portugal (45+4'), Luquinhas (59'), Willyan (77')
Sa (45+3' og.), Vitinha (70'), Otavio (75')
Uribe (54')
Mar 20, 2021 6pm
Portimonense
1-2
Porto
Cande (64')
Dener (26'), Willyan (45+1'), Sergio (67'), Beto (71'), Antonio (71')
Sergio (68'), Sa (90+6')
Possignolo (45+1' og.), Portugal Lima (67' og.)
Conceicao (67'), Marchesin (71'), Oliveira (90')
Conceicao (68')
Nov 8, 2020 5.30pm
Porto
3-1
Portimonense
Mbemba (45+2'), Taremi (46'), Oliveira (89')
Oliveira (56'), Corona (62'), Mbemba (74')
Beto (14')
Antonio (65'), Dener (75'), Cesar (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1311024083233
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Gil Vicente144461724-716
10Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
11Casa Pia133551117-614
12Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
13Nacional13337817-912
14Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
15BoavistaBoavista13256816-811
16AVS132561021-1111
17SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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