Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Apr 2, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Do Dragão

Porto
1 - 0
Portimonense

Cardoso (30')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 0-0 Porto
Sunday, March 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Portimonense 0-1 Vizela
Saturday, March 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 85.42%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 4.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 4-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.81%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (1.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Portimonense
85.42% ( 0.05)	10.12% ( -0.03)	4.46% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 42.28% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.9% (

0.01)

30.1% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.69% (

0.01)

51.31% (

-0.02)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.13% (

0.01)

4.87% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.41% (

0.03)

19.59% (

-0.03)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.44% (

-0.08)

55.56% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.79% (

-0.05)

88.21% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Porto 85.41%

Portimonense 4.46%

Draw 10.12%

Porto	Draw	Portimonense
3-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 5.53% ( -0) 5-1 @ 3.34% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 85.41%	1-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.71% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.47% Total : 10.12%	0-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 4.46%