With Porto's defence not as watertight as it once was, a free-scoring Braga outfit should feel confident of chalking up a couple of goals, especially with the wise old head of Pepe potentially not being available.
However, Conceicao's side could have easily racked up a few themselves against Inter on another day and can also exploit the hosts' inexperienced centre-back pairing, so Sunday's podium battle should live up to the billing in a high-scoring draw.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Braga had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
1.11) 
-1.94) 
