Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Braga
Mar 19, 2023 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
Porto

Braga vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2023 8.30pm
Vizela 0 - 4 Braga
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Mar 10, 2023 8.15pm
Porto 3 - 2 Estoril
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Mehdi Taremi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Braga had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Braga 30.73% ▲ (+1.12)
Draw 27.09% ▲ (+0.83)
Porto 42.17% ▼ (-1.94)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.44% ▼ (-1.97)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.31% ▼ (-2.78)
Under 2.5 55.69% ▲ (+2.77)
Over 3.5 23.16% ▼ (-2.32)
Under 3.5 76.84% ▲ (+2.31)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 66.89% ▼ (-0.64)
Under 0.5 33.11% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 1.5 30.29% ▼ (-0.71)
Under 1.5 69.7% ▲ (+0.70)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 73.91% ▼ (-2.23)
Under 0.5 26.08% ▲ (+2.22)
Over 1.5 38.86% ▼ (-3.09)
Under 1.5 61.14% ▲ (+3.09)

Score analysis

Braga 30.73%
Draw 27.08%
Porto 42.17%
Braga
1-0 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.83)
2-1 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.38)
3-1 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.82% ▲ (+0.34)
0-0 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.89)
2-2 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.08%
Porto
0-1 @ 11.6% ▲ (+0.50)
1-2 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.33)
0-2 @ 7.8% ▼ (-0.16)
1-3 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.42)
0-3 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.31)
2-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.27)
1-4 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.24)
0-4 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 42.17%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Porto
Sep 30, 2022 9.15pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
Braga
  • Evanilson 32' goal
  • Stephen Eustaquio 34' goal
  • Pepe 63' goal
  • Galeno 90'+6' goal
  • goal Pepe 55' (OG)
Primeira Liga Gameweek 31
Braga
Apr 25, 2022 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Porto
  • Paulo Oliveira 33' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Horta 54' goal
  • Fabiano Silva 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pepe 76'
  • yellowcard Galeno 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 14
Porto
Dec 12, 2021 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Braga
  • Joao Mario 19' yellowcard
  • Luis Diaz 22' goal
  • Francisco Conceicao 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Otavio 64' yellowcard
  • Vitinha 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paulo Oliveira 38'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Silva 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Bruno Rodrigues 76'
  • yellowcard Lucas Piazon 79'
  • yellowcard Francisco Moura 86'
Taca de Portugal
Porto
Mar 3, 2021 8.15pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT
Braga
  • Otavio 30' goal
  • Moussa Marega 75' goal
  • Otavio 84' yellowcard
  • goal Abel Ruiz 9'
  • goal Abel Ruiz 14'
  • goal Lucas Piazon 28'
  • redcard Cristian Borja 34'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Esgaio 43'
  • yellowcard Lucas Piazon 77'
  • yellowcard Matheus Magalhaes 80'
Taca de Portugal
Braga
Feb 10, 2021 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Porto
  • Nuno Sequeira 46' yellowcard
  • David Carmo 62' yellowcard
  • Ali Elmusrati 79' yellowcard
  • Andre Horta 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Esgaio 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Fransergio 90'+12' goal
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 10'
  • yellowcard Malang Sarr 25'
  • redcard Luis Diaz 70'
  • yellowcard Diogo Costa 90'+7'
  • redcard Mateus Uribe 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Evanilson 90'+11'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Braga
Feb 7, 2021 8.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Porto
  • Galeno 20' yellowcard
  • Vitor Tormena 34' yellowcard
  • Vitor Oliveira 35' yellowcard
  • David Carmo 59' yellowcard
  • Fransergio 87' goal
  • Nicolas Gaitan 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Jesus Corona 5'
  • yellowcard Mateus Uribe 18'
  • yellowcard Sergio Conceicao 23'
  • goal Sergio Oliveira 36'
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 54'
  • redcard Jesus Corona 60'
  • redcard Sergio Conceicao 90'+6'

Form Data

Vizela 0 - 4 Braga
Braga 2 - 0 Rio Ave
Guimaraes 2 - 1 Braga
Fiorentina 3 - 2 Braga
Braga 2 - 0 Arouca
Braga 0 - 4 Fiorentina
Porto 0 - 0 Inter Milan
Porto 3 - 2 Estoril
Chaves 1 - 3 Porto
Porto 1 - 2 Gil Vicente
Inter Milan 1 - 0 Porto
Porto 1 - 0 Rio Ave