Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 19, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Porto

Braga
0 - 0
Porto

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 0-4 Braga
Saturday, March 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 0-0 Inter Milan
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Braga had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BragaDrawPorto
30.73% (1.113 1.11)27.09% (0.821 0.82)42.17% (-1.939 -1.94)
Both teams to score 49.44% (-1.968 -1.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.31% (-2.773 -2.77)55.69% (2.768 2.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.16% (-2.314 -2.31)76.84% (2.309 2.31)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.89% (-0.63199999999999 -0.63)33.11% (0.627 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.29% (-0.702 -0.7)69.7% (0.69699999999999 0.7)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91% (-2.223 -2.22)26.08% (2.218 2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86% (-3.084 -3.08)61.14% (3.081 3.08)
Score Analysis
    Braga 30.73%
    Porto 42.17%
    Draw 27.08%
BragaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 9.55% (0.829 0.83)
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.28% (0.375 0.38)
3-1 @ 2.61% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.73%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 8.64% (0.884 0.88)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.267 -0.27)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 11.6% (0.5 0.5)
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.327 -0.33)
0-2 @ 7.8% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.412 -0.41)
0-3 @ 3.49% (-0.307 -0.31)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.269 -0.27)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.234 -0.23)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.187 -0.19)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 42.17%

How you voted: Braga vs Porto

Braga
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Porto
28.6%
35
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2022 9.15pm
Porto
4-1
Braga
Evanilson (32'), Eustaquio (34'), Pepe (63'), Galeno (90+6')
Pepe (55' og.)
Medeiros (23')
Apr 25, 2022 6pm
Braga
1-0
Porto
Horta (54')
Oliveira (33'), Silva (90+2')

Pepe (76'), Galeno (90+2')
Dec 12, 2021 8.30pm
Porto
1-0
Braga
Diaz (22')
Mario (19'), Conceicao (45+2'), Otavio (64'), Vitinha (89')

Oliveira (38'), Silva (45+4'), Rodrigues (76'), Piazon (79'), Moura (86')
Mar 3, 2021 8.15pm
Semi-Finals
Porto
2-3
Braga
Otavio (30'), Marega (75')
Otavio (84')
Ruiz (9', 14'), Piazon (28')
Esgaio (43'), Piazon (77'), Magalhaes (80')
Borja (34')
Feb 10, 2021 8.15pm
Semi-Finals
Braga
1-1
Porto
Fransergio (90+12')
Sequeira (46'), Carmo (62'), Elmusrati (79'), Horta (90+10'), Esgaio (90+10')
Taremi (10')
Sarr (25'), Costa (90+7'), Evanilson (90+11')
Diaz (70'), Uribe (90+7')