Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 14.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Gil Vicente |
65.28% ( 0.58) | 20.12% ( 0.05) | 14.61% ( -0.62) |
Both teams to score 50.07% ( -1.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.64% ( -1.47) | 44.36% ( 1.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.26% ( -1.45) | 66.73% ( 1.44) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.21% ( -0.28) | 12.79% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.91% ( -0.58) | 39.09% ( 0.58) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.41% ( -1.76) | 42.59% ( 1.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.05% ( -1.54) | 78.94% ( 1.54) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Gil Vicente |
2-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.48) 1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.19) 5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.11% Total : 65.27% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.12% | 0-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.54% Total : 14.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 8 | 32 | 33 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 11 |
15 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Nacional | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |