MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 20:16:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 16, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Gil Vicente logo

Braga
1 - 0
Gil Vicente

Horta (30')
Elmusrati (18'), Magalhaes (88'), Jorge (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Carvalho (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 0-5 Braga
Wednesday, April 12 at 7.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Chaves
Monday, April 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-0 Gil Vicente

While Gil Vicente have run out of steam in recent weeks, Braga are currently firing on all cylinders and will be looking to return to the automatic Champions League spot. Jorge's side are unbeaten at home post-World Cup and we are tipping them to claim a comfortable win on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 14.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawGil Vicente
65.28% (0.577 0.58) 20.12% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 14.61% (-0.622 -0.62)
Both teams to score 50.07% (-1.702 -1.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.64% (-1.473 -1.47)44.36% (1.472 1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.26% (-1.445 -1.45)66.73% (1.442 1.44)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.21% (-0.28099999999999 -0.28)12.79% (0.28 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.91% (-0.581 -0.58)39.09% (0.58000000000001 0.58)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.41% (-1.762 -1.76)42.59% (1.76 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.05% (-1.541 -1.54)78.94% (1.54 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Braga 65.27%
    Gil Vicente 14.61%
    Draw 20.12%
BragaDrawGil Vicente
2-0 @ 11.51% (0.48 0.48)
1-0 @ 11.2% (0.59 0.59)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.9% (0.25 0.25)
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.06% (0.086 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.192 -0.19)
5-0 @ 1.67% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 65.27%
1-1 @ 9.56% (0.052 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.45% (0.34 0.34)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.231 -0.23)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.12%
0-1 @ 4.65% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-2 @ 1.98% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 14.61%

How you voted: Braga vs Gil Vicente

Braga
100%
Draw
0.0%
Gil Vicente
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 8.30pm
Mar 13, 2022 8.30pm
Braga
0-1
Gil Vicente

Elmusrati (44'), Silva (90'), Horta (90+6')
Gomes (89')
Fujimoto (27'), Leautey (60'), Frelih (90+5')
Oct 25, 2021 7pm
Gil Vicente
0-1
Braga

Pedrinho (49')
Oliveira (4')
Castro (49'), Sequeira (61'), Oliveira (81'), Moura (90+2')
May 9, 2021 8pm
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
Braga
1-0
Gil Vicente
Medeiros (73')
Viana (44'), Novais (77'), Sequeira (87'), Galeno (90+1'), Fransergio (90+3')

Pereira (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao331012113639-342
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3361893742-536
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823


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