Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 16, 2023 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
  • Ricardo Horta 30' goal

Braga vs Gil Vicente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Apr 8, 2023 8.30pm
Braga 4 - 1 Estoril
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

Gil Vicente

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2023 8.15pm
Gil Vicente 0 - 0 Chaves
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Fran Navarro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 14.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result

Braga 65.28% (+0.58)
Draw 20.12% (+0.05)
Gil Vicente 14.61% (-0.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.07% (-1.71)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.64% (-1.48)
Under 2.5 44.36% (+1.48)
Over 3.5 33.26% (-1.45)
Under 3.5 66.73% (+1.45)
Over 4.5 16.99% (-1.07)
Under 4.5 83.01% (+1.07)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 87.21% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 12.79% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 60.91% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 39.09% (+0.59)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5 57.41% (-1.77)
Under 0.5 42.59% (+1.76)
Over 1.5 21.05% (-1.55)
Under 1.5 78.94% (+1.55)

Score analysis

Braga 65.27%
Draw 20.12%
Gil Vicente 14.61%
Braga
2-0 @ 11.51% (+0.49)
1-0 @ 11.2% (+0.59)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 7.9% (+0.25)
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.11)
4-0 @ 4.06% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.20)
5-0 @ 1.67% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.12)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 65.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.56% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.45% (+0.34)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.24)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.12%
Gil Vicente
0-1 @ 4.65% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.18)
0-2 @ 1.98% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.12)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 14.61%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Oct 30, 2022 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
  • goal Iuri Medeiros 67'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 13, 2022 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ali Elmusrati 44' yellowcard
  • Fabiano Silva 90' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Horta 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kanya Fujimoto 27'
  • yellowcard Antoine Leautey 60'
  • goal Henrique Gomes 89'
  • yellowcard Ziga Frelih 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 25, 2021 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Pedrinho 49' yellowcard
  • goal Vitor Oliveira 4'
  • yellowcard Andre Castro 49'
  • yellowcard Nuno Sequeira 61'
  • yellowcard Vitor Oliveira 81'
  • yellowcard Francisco Moura 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
May 9, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Claude Goncalves 29' goal
  • Paulinho 62' yellowcard
  • goal Ricardo Horta 9'
  • yellowcard Nuno Sequeira 78'
  • yellowcard Bruno Rodrigues 88'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Bruno Viana 44' yellowcard
  • Iuri Medeiros 73' goal
  • Joao Novais 77' yellowcard
  • Nuno Sequeira 87' yellowcard
  • Galeno 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Fransergio 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Pereira 60'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Feb 8, 2020 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Braga Municipal
  • Ricardo Horta 12' goal
  • Ricardo Esgaio 22' goal
  • Bruno Viana 40' redcard
  • David Carmo 47' yellowcard
  • Wilson Eduardo 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Afonso 58'
  • goal Vitor Carvalho 65'
  • yellowcard Henrique Gomes 78'
  • goal Vitor Carvalho 85'
  • yellowcard Sandro Lima 91'
  • yellowcard Fernando Fonseca 92'