MX23RW : Wednesday, December 11 07:27:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 16, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Gil Vicente logo

Braga
1 - 0
Gil Vicente

Horta (30')
Elmusrati (18'), Magalhaes (88'), Jorge (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Carvalho (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 0-5 Braga
Wednesday, April 12 at 7.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Chaves
Monday, April 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-0 Gil Vicente

While Gil Vicente have run out of steam in recent weeks, Braga are currently firing on all cylinders and will be looking to return to the automatic Champions League spot. Jorge's side are unbeaten at home post-World Cup and we are tipping them to claim a comfortable win on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 14.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawGil Vicente
65.28% (0.577 0.58) 20.12% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 14.61% (-0.622 -0.62)
Both teams to score 50.07% (-1.702 -1.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.64% (-1.473 -1.47)44.36% (1.472 1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.26% (-1.445 -1.45)66.73% (1.442 1.44)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.21% (-0.28099999999999 -0.28)12.79% (0.28 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.91% (-0.581 -0.58)39.09% (0.58000000000001 0.58)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.41% (-1.762 -1.76)42.59% (1.76 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.05% (-1.541 -1.54)78.94% (1.54 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Braga 65.27%
    Gil Vicente 14.61%
    Draw 20.12%
BragaDrawGil Vicente
2-0 @ 11.51% (0.48 0.48)
1-0 @ 11.2% (0.59 0.59)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.9% (0.25 0.25)
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.06% (0.086 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.192 -0.19)
5-0 @ 1.67% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 65.27%
1-1 @ 9.56% (0.052 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.45% (0.34 0.34)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.231 -0.23)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.12%
0-1 @ 4.65% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-2 @ 1.98% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 14.61%

How you voted: Braga vs Gil Vicente

Braga
100%
Draw
0.0%
Gil Vicente
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 8.30pm
Mar 13, 2022 8.30pm
Braga
0-1
Gil Vicente

Elmusrati (44'), Silva (90'), Horta (90+6')
Gomes (89')
Fujimoto (27'), Leautey (60'), Frelih (90+5')
Oct 25, 2021 7pm
Gil Vicente
0-1
Braga

Pedrinho (49')
Oliveira (4')
Castro (49'), Sequeira (61'), Oliveira (81'), Moura (90+2')
May 9, 2021 8pm
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
Braga
1-0
Gil Vicente
Medeiros (73')
Viana (44'), Novais (77'), Sequeira (87'), Galeno (90+1'), Fransergio (90+3')

Pereira (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1311024083233
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense136251918120
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
10Casa Pia133551117-614
11Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
12Gil Vicente133461624-813
13Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
14BoavistaBoavista13256816-811
15AVS132561021-1111
16Nacional12237717-109
17SC FarenseFarense13238719-129
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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