Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 30, 2023 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Hidemasa Morita 18' goal
  • Ricardo Esgaio 60' goal
  • goal Sebastian Coates 69' (OG)

Sporting Lisbon vs Famalicao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Apr 24, 2023 8.15pm
Guimaraes 0 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Pedro Goncalves

Famalicao

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 3.30pm
Famalicao 3 - 2 Maritimo
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Ivan Jaime

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.79%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 8.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 3-0 (10.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 75.79% (+0.81)
Draw 15.67% (-0.29)
Famalicao 8.53% (-0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.62% (-1.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.46% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 40.54% (+0.42)
Over 3.5 37.07% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 62.92% (+0.43)
Over 4.5 19.84% (-0.34)
Under 4.5 80.16% (+0.34)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 90.98% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 9.02% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 69.29% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 30.71% (-0.21)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5 49.04% (-1.45)
Under 0.5 50.96% (+1.45)
Over 1.5 14.69% (-1.00)
Under 1.5 85.31% (+1.00)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 75.77%
Draw 15.67%
Famalicao 8.53%
Sporting Lisbon
2-0 @ 13.29% (+0.35)
1-0 @ 11.05% (+0.25)
3-0 @ 10.66% (+0.33)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 7.19% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 6.42% (+0.23)
4-1 @ 4.33% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 3.09% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.14)
5-1 @ 2.08% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.08)
6-0 @ 1.24% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 75.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.45% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 4.59% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.02% (-0.18)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 15.67%
Famalicao
0-1 @ 3.1% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 2.51% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 1.04% (-0.07)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 8.53%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Nov 13, 2022 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
  • Ivan Jaime 78' goal
  • goal Francisco Trincao 42'
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 45'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 6, 2022 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pablo Sarabia 6' goal
  • Zouhair Feddal 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Pedro Porro 56' yellowcard
  • Matheus Reis 63' goal
  • yellowcard Alex 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Charles Pickel 74'
Taca da Liga
Oct 26, 2021 9.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Manuel Ugarte 8' goal
  • Ruben Vinagre 28' yellowcard
  • Jovane Cabral 48' yellowcard
  • Luis Neto 54' yellowcard
  • Nuno Santos 61' goal
  • goal Heriberto Tavares 89'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2021 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
  • Pepe 3' yellowcard
  • Charles Pickel 12' yellowcard
  • Nuno Mendes 68' goal
  • Diogo Figueiras 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricardo Esgaio 4'
  • yellowcard Joao Palhinha 14'
  • yellowcard Nuno Mendes 40'
  • yellowcard Pedro Goncalves 75'
  • goal Joao Palhinha 82'
  • yellowcard Bruno Tabata 90'+6'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Apr 11, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Joao Palhinha 10' yellowcard
  • Pedro Goncalves 25' goal
  • Vitorino Antunes 51' yellowcard
  • Pedro Porro 58' yellowcard
  • goal Anderson Silva 27'
  • yellowcard Patrick 53'
  • yellowcard Riccieli 69'
  • yellowcard Luiz Lucio Reis Junior 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Dec 5, 2020 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Leonardo Campana 8' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Assuncao 43' goal
  • Joaquin Pereyra 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Riccieli 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Assuncao 69' yellowcard
  • Srdan Babic 74' yellowcard
  • Jhonata Robert 83' yellowcard
  • Jhonata Robert 89' goal
  • yellowcard Pedro Goncalves 23'
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 37'
  • goal Pedro Porro 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Nuno Santos 45'+5'
  • redcard Pedro Goncalves 80'
  • yellowcard Joao Palhinha 88'
  • yellowcard Zouhair Feddal 90'+3'