Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.