Famalicao logo
Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 26, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
Porto

Famalicao
1 - 2
Porto

Penetra (36')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Marcano (16'), Martinez (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Famalicao and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Maritimo
Saturday, April 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Porto
Saturday, April 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
FamalicaoDrawPorto
31.56% (0.76 0.76)26.79% (0.032 0.03)41.65% (-0.791 -0.79)
Both teams to score 50.67% (0.199 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.73% (0.113 0.11)54.27% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.33% (0.094000000000001 0.09)75.67% (-0.092999999999989 -0.09)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.21% (0.595 0.59)31.79% (-0.593 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.78% (0.674 0.67)68.22% (-0.673 -0.67)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (-0.358 -0.36)25.71% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37% (-0.491 -0.49)60.63% (0.493 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Famalicao 31.56%
    Porto 41.65%
    Draw 26.79%
FamalicaoDrawPorto
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.111 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.29% (0.129 0.13)
2-0 @ 5.37% (0.149 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.78% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.05% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.56%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 11.1% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.54% (-0.191 -0.19)
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.41% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 41.65%

How you voted: Famalicao vs Porto

Famalicao
6.7%
Draw
10.0%
Porto
83.3%
30
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 8.30pm
gameweek 16
Porto
4-1
Famalicao
Galeno (10', 21'), Otavio (42'), Taremi (48')
Galeno (36'), Wendell (44'), Marcano (55')
Fonte (52')
Junior (57')
Jan 23, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 19
Porto
3-1
Famalicao
Otavio (25'), Diaz (37'), Taremi (78' pen.)
Uribe (85')
Riccieli (90+1')
Riccieli (38'), Pepe (68'), De La Fuente (80'), Amarildo (90+6')
Aug 15, 2021 6pm
gameweek 2
Famalicao
1-2
Porto
Riccieli (56')
Rodrigues (62'), Jose Gomes Oliveira Tavares (64'), Pepe (74')
Martinez (13', 43')
Costa (62')
Apr 30, 2021 9.15pm
gameweek 30
Porto
3-2
Famalicao
Martinez (8'), Taremi (61' pen.), Grujic (75')
Grujic (31')
Rodrigues (44'), Silva (90+1')
Queiros (56'), Figueiras (61'), Assuncao (73')
Jan 8, 2021 9pm
gameweek 13
Famalicao
1-4
Porto
Robert (20' pen.)
Queiros (15'), Vana (31'), Assuncao (41'), Riccieli (55'), Morer (90+3')
Taremi (13', 58'), Oliveira (32' pen.), Lopes (89')
Mbemba (12')