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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Porto

Pacos de Ferreira
0 - 2
Porto


Lima (38'), Pires (40'), Holsgrove (45+2'), Delgado (45+5')
Holsgrove (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Taremi (66' pen.), Martinez (83')
Marcano (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maritimo 3-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, April 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, April 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Porto

While Famalicao will be looking to kick-start their turnaround, they are no match for a Porto side who are currently firing on all cylinders. With Benfica's drop-off in form putting the Dragoes back in the title race, we are backing them to comfortably edge out the Pacenses and close the gap at the top of the table to just one point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 12.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Porto in this match.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawPorto
12.69% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01) 18.18% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 69.13% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.33% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.05% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)39.95% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.69% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)62.32% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.34% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)42.66% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)79.01% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.52% (0.007000000000005 0.01)10.48% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.88% (0.010000000000005 0.01)34.12% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 12.69%
    Porto 69.12%
    Draw 18.18%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawPorto
1-0 @ 3.81% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-1 @ 3.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.17%
3-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 12.69%
1-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 18.18%
0-2 @ 11.37%
0-1 @ 10.08%
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 8.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 7.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-4 @ 4.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 4.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.1%
0-5 @ 2.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-5 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.75%
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 69.12%

How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Porto

Pacos de Ferreira
0.0%
Draw
4.5%
Porto
95.5%
22
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 6pm
gameweek 12
Porto
4-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Evanilson (4', 39'), Taremi (31'), Delgado (55' og.)

Pires (44')
Mar 6, 2022 6pm
gameweek 25
Pacos de Ferreira
2-4
Porto
Delgado (31'), Gaitan (66')
Pepe (17'), Evanilson (38', 52'), Taremi (59')
Vitinha (49'), Uribe (72')
Oct 2, 2021 6pm
gameweek 8
Porto
2-1
Pacos de Ferreira
Diaz (44'), Wendell (52')
Taremi (16'), Wendell (30'), Pepe (54')
Taremi (90+5')
Santos (19')
Ferreira (17'), Antunes (32'), Denilson (40'), Delgado (79'), Baixinho (83')
Mar 14, 2021 8pm
gameweek 23
Porto
2-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Pepe (77'), Oliveira (78')
Fernandes Conceicao (90')

de Brito Gonzaga (62'), Costa (70')
Oct 30, 2020 8.30pm
gameweek 6
Pacos de Ferreira
3-2
Porto
Jan (11'), Eustaquio (43'), Costa (59' pen.)
Pedro (84')
Pepa (41')
Oliveira (45+7' pen.), Otavio (78')
Oliveira (84')
Conceicao (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Benfica1310213282432
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Gil Vicente144461724-716
10Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
11Casa Pia133551117-614
12Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
13Nacional13337817-912
14Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
15AVS142661122-1112
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


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