Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 12.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Porto in this match.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Porto |
12.69% ( -0.01) | 18.18% ( -0) | 69.13% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.33% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.05% ( 0.01) | 39.95% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.69% ( 0.01) | 62.32% ( -0.01) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.34% ( -0) | 42.66% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21% ( -0) | 79.01% ( 0.01) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.52% ( 0.01) | 10.48% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.88% ( 0.01) | 34.12% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 3.81% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.66% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.62% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.17% 3-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.39% Total : 12.69% | 1-1 @ 8.59% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0) Other @ 1% Total : 18.18% | 0-2 @ 11.37% 0-1 @ 10.08% 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0) 0-3 @ 8.55% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.29% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.82% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.1% 0-5 @ 2.18% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.85% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.75% Other @ 4.32% Total : 69.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |