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Ivan Marcano
44'
Arouca vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 66.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 12.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.48%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Arouca Goals
Porto Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.34)
2-2 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.74%
0-2 @ 13.48% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 8.68% ▼ (-0.19)
1-3 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.16)
0-4 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.19)
1-4 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.15)
2-3 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.07)
0-5 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.12)
1-5 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.09)
2-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 66.66%
