Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 84.99%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 4.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 4-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.73%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-2 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Boavista |
84.99% ( 0.06) | 10.1% ( -0.08) | 4.91% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.45% ( 0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.82% ( 0.66) | 27.18% ( -0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.28% ( 0.83) | 47.71% ( -0.83) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.57% ( 0.13) | 4.43% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.76% ( 0.39) | 18.24% ( -0.39) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.61% ( 0.65) | 51.39% ( -0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.4% ( 0.42) | 85.6% ( -0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Boavista |
3-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.09) 6-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.07) 6-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.06) 7-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.25% Total : 84.98% | 1-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.64% Total : 10.1% | 1-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.82% Total : 4.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 8 | 32 | 33 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 11 |
15 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Nacional | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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