Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 30, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Boavista

Porto
1 - 0
Boavista

Taremi (59' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Porto
Wednesday, April 26 at 8.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Boavista

All competitions
Last Game: Boavista 3-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, April 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 84.99%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 4.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 4-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.73%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-2 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawBoavista
84.99% (0.061999999999998 0.06)10.1% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)4.91% (0.024 0.02)
Both teams to score 46.45% (0.681 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.82% (0.66499999999999 0.66)27.18% (-0.667 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.28% (0.834 0.83)47.71% (-0.834 -0.83)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.57% (0.12599999999999 0.13)4.43% (-0.1249 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.76% (0.38800000000001 0.39)18.24% (-0.389 -0.39)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.61% (0.65 0.65)51.39% (-0.65 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.4% (0.425 0.42)85.6% (-0.42500000000001 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Porto 84.98%
    Boavista 4.91%
    Draw 10.1%
PortoDrawBoavista
3-0 @ 11.48% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 11.05% (-0.26 -0.26)
4-0 @ 8.95% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.65% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.1% (-0.227 -0.23)
4-1 @ 5.96% (0.087 0.09)
5-0 @ 5.58% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
5-1 @ 3.71% (0.087 0.09)
6-0 @ 2.9% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.062 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.065 0.07)
6-1 @ 1.93% (0.062 0.06)
7-0 @ 1.29% (0.029 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.24% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 84.98%
1-1 @ 4.73% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 2.45% (0.038 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.28% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 10.1%
1-2 @ 1.57% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 1.52% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 4.91%

How you voted: Porto vs Boavista

Porto
89.3%
Draw
3.6%
Boavista
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 13
Boavista
1-4
Porto
Costa (90+1' og.)
Cannon (24')
Marcano (41'), Eustaquio (64'), Galeno (83', 90+2')
Mar 20, 2022 8.45pm
gameweek 27
Boavista
0-1
Porto

Porozo (17'), Garcia (19')
Vieira (32')
Vitinha (14'), Mbemba (57')
Oct 30, 2021 5pm
gameweek 10
Porto
4-1
Boavista
Diaz (21'), Evanilson (41', 47'), Loader (90+6')
Pepe (60'), Otavio (61'), Taremi (62'), Marcano (90')
Hamache (30')
Musa (26'), Sauer (38'), Gorre (57'), Perez (82')
Feb 13, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 19
Porto
2-2
Boavista
Taremi (54'), Oliveira (82' pen.)
Lopes (29'), Evanilson (90+4')
Porozo (8'), Elis (45+1')
Paulinho (18'), Cid (67'), Jardim (85'), Rami (90+7'), Perez (90+7')
Sep 26, 2020 9pm
gameweek 2
Boavista
0-5
Porto

Santos (29')
Corona (47'), Oliveira (59'), Marega (67', 72'), Diaz (90+2')
rhs 2.0


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