Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 22, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio do Bessa Século XXI

Boavista
3 - 2
Rio Ave

Njie (9'), Lourenco (12'), Mangas (35')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Hernani (15'), Boateng (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Vizela 1-1 Boavista
Monday, April 17 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, April 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Rio Ave
40.07% ( -0.01)	27.5% ( -0)	32.42% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 48.81% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.23% (

0.02)

56.76% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.29% (

0.01)

77.71% (

-0.01)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.28% (

-0)

27.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.71% (

-0)

63.29% (

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.53% (

0.02)

32.47% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.01% (

0.02)

68.99% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Boavista 40.07%

Rio Ave 32.42%

Draw 27.5%

Boavista	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.07%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.5%	0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.42%