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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Boavista
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Bessa Século XXI
Rio Ave

Boavista
3 - 2
Rio Ave

Njie (9'), Lourenco (12'), Mangas (35')
Silva (86')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Hernani (15'), Boateng (85')
Sa (42'), Boateng (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 1-1 Boavista
Monday, April 17 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, April 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Boavista 1-1 Rio Ave

While Boavista and Rio Ave have run out of steam in recent weeks, they have an outside chance of securing a spot in Europe. With that said, both sides head into the weekend knowing defeat could effectively spell the end of their European ambitions. We predict they will take a cautious approach to the game and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.

Result
BoavistaDrawRio Ave
40.07% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01) 27.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 32.42% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.81% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.23% (0.015000000000001 0.02)56.76% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.29% (0.012 0.01)77.71% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.28% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.71% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)63.29% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.53% (0.019000000000005 0.02)32.47% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.01% (0.022000000000002 0.02)68.99% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Boavista 40.07%
    Rio Ave 32.42%
    Draw 27.5%
BoavistaDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 11.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 40.07%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 10.12%
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 32.42%

How you voted: Boavista vs Rio Ave

Boavista
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Rio Ave
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 12
Rio Ave
1-0
Boavista
Boateng (64')
Vitor (22')
Apr 10, 2021 3.30pm
gameweek 26
Boavista
3-3
Rio Ave
Njie (3', 13'), Jeronimo (82' og.)
Hamache (35'), Sauer (38'), Elis (90'), Awaziem (90+6')
Hamache (57')
Gelson (10'), Mane (70'), Coentrao (90+3')
Pele (46')
Dec 6, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 9
Rio Ave
0-0
Boavista

Geraldes (30'), Mane (38')
Jul 25, 2020 7pm
gameweek 34
Boavista
0-2
Rio Ave

Sauer (53'), Cassiano (65')
Taremi (17', 84')
Reis (73'), Augusto (89')
Jan 19, 2020 8pm
gameweek 17
Rio Ave
2-0
Boavista
Lopes (40'), Taremi (45')
Augusto (54')

Paulinho (34'), Obiora (36'), Tavares (39'), Leismann (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1311024083233
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense136251918120
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
10Casa Pia133551117-614
11Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
12Gil Vicente133461624-813
13Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
14BoavistaBoavista13256816-811
15AVS132561021-1111
16Nacional12237717-109
17SC FarenseFarense13238719-129
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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