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Maritimo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 2, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio dos Barreiros
Boavista

Maritimo
4 - 2
Boavista

Vidigal (3', 50'), Correia (22'), Riascos (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Agra (59'), Lourenco (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maritimo

All competitions
Last Game: Casa Pia 2-0 Maritimo
Sunday, March 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Boavista

All competitions
Last Game: Boavista 1-2 Famalicao
Sunday, March 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.

Result
MaritimoDrawBoavista
41.17% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)26.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)31.99% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.66% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)54.36% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)75.74% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)26% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)61.03% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)31.54% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.93% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 41.16%
    Boavista 31.99%
    Draw 26.84%
MaritimoDrawBoavista
1-0 @ 11.04%
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 41.16%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.84%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.99%

How you voted: Maritimo vs Boavista

Maritimo
50.0%
Draw
7.1%
Boavista
42.9%
14
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 3.30pm
Boavista
1-1
Maritimo
Perez (22')
Malheiro (45+4')
Vidigal (56')
Apr 16, 2022 6pm
Maritimo
4-0
Boavista
Costa (41'), Joel (45+3', 63' pen., 69')
Joel (21'), Costa (32'), Rossi (32'), Pelagio (55')

Perez (16'), Ferreira (45+1'), Musa (71'), De Santis (81'), Porozo (85')
Morais (72')
Dec 4, 2021 6pm
Boavista
1-1
Maritimo
Musa (5')
Musa (19'), Makouta (40'), Vukotic (42')
Makouta (76')
Henrique (90+5')
Costa (23'), Winck (23'), Junior (48'), Mendes (63'), Viana (78')
Junior (69')
Jul 25, 2021 6pm
Quarter-Finals
Maritimo
0-1
Boavista

Junior (29'), Pelagio (56')
Miguel Castelo Santos (41')
Sauer (33'), Mascarenhas Lemos Reymao Nogueira (58'), Hamache (89'), Perez (90+2')
Sauer (90+3')
Apr 25, 2021 3pm
Boavista
0-1
Maritimo

Cafumana (8'), Rami (56')
Alipour (63')
Joel (51')