Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 46.23% ( | 26.2% ( | 27.57% |
| Both teams to score 50.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.32% ( | 53.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.83% ( | 75.17% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.82% ( | 23.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.93% ( | 57.07% ( |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.55% ( | 34.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.84% | 71.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 9.09% 2-0 @ 8.53% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 46.23% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 8.51% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 4.54% 1-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.21% Total : 27.57% |