Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Boavista |
| 47.31% ( | 25.99% ( | 26.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.61% ( | 53.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.07% ( | 74.92% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% ( | 22.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.84% ( | 56.15% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.01% ( | 34.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.26% ( | 71.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 11.75% ( 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 3-0 @ 4.34% ( 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 4-0 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 3% Total : 47.3% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 2-2 @ 4.83% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0-2 @ 4.35% ( 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 26.7% |