Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.