Primeira Liga
Gameweek
30
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-
Paulo Vitor
69'
Rio Ave vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match.
Result
Rio Ave
42.97%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
27.25%
Arouca
29.78%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
48.56%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.38%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
56.62%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
22.41%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
77.59%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
9.76%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
90.24%
▲
(+0.01)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5
73.91%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
26.09%
Over 1.5
38.85%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
61.15%
▼
(-0.01)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5
65.7%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
34.3%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
29%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
71%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Rio Ave
42.97%
Draw
27.24%
Arouca
29.78%
Rio Ave
1-0
@
12.02%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 8.08% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-0 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 42.97%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 8.08% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-0 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 42.97%
Draw
1-1
@
12.86%
0-0 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.24%
0-0 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.24%
Arouca
0-1
@
9.58%
1-2 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 29.78%
1-2 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 29.78%
