Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Braga

Benfica
1 - 0
Braga

Silva (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-2 Benfica
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 4-1 Portimonense
Saturday, April 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Braga had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 1-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
BenficaDrawBraga
59.87% (0.644 0.64)20.45% (0.049000000000003 0.05)19.67% (-0.7 -0.7)
Both teams to score 59.87% (-1.419 -1.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.31% (-1.306 -1.31)36.69% (1.301 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.15% (-1.434 -1.43)58.85% (1.428 1.43)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.03% (-0.23 -0.23)11.96% (0.224 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.63% (-0.485 -0.48)37.36% (0.479 0.48)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.01% (-1.433 -1.43)31.99% (1.428 1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.55% (-1.665 -1.67)68.45% (1.66 1.66)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 59.87%
    Braga 19.67%
    Draw 20.45%
BenficaDrawBraga
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.63% (0.395 0.4)
1-0 @ 8.13% (0.441 0.44)
3-1 @ 6.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.227 0.23)
3-2 @ 3.97% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-1 @ 3.7% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.24% (0.092 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.106 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.57% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 59.87%
1-1 @ 9.26% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 3.83% (0.239 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.45%
1-2 @ 5.28% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-1 @ 4.36% (0.109 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 19.67%

How you voted: Benfica vs Braga

Benfica
61.5%
Draw
20.5%
Braga
17.9%
39
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2023 8.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Braga
1-1
Benfica
 Braga win 5-4 on penalties
Elmusrati (36')
Racic (55'), Castro (88'), Niakate (92'), Tormena (100'), Oliveira (106'), Banza (113')
Guedes (15')
Otamendi (83'), Vlachodimos (111'), Morato (115')
Bah (31'), Morato (120')
Dec 30, 2022 9.15pm
gameweek 14
Braga
3-0
Benfica
Ruiz (2'), Horta (32', 70')

Luis (27')
Apr 1, 2022 8.15pm
gameweek 28
Braga
3-2
Benfica
Medeiros (28'), Horta (59'), Oliveira (79')
Ruiz (8'), Elmusrati (30')
Nunez (74' pen.), Mario (77')
Vertonghen (26')
Nov 7, 2021 9.15pm
gameweek 11
Benfica
6-1
Braga
Grimaldo (2'), Nunez (37'), Silva (42', 45+3'), Everton (52', 59')
Gilberto (48'), Pizzi (81'), Ramos (83')
Horta (12')
Elmusrati (26'), Mineiro (90')
May 23, 2021 8.30pm
Final
Braga
2-0
Benfica
Piazon (45+3'), Horta (85')
Esgaio (35'), Elmusrati (67'), Novais (82')
Piazon (90+4')

Silva (85'), Tavares (88'), Otamendi (89'), Grimaldo (90+4')
Leite (17'), Taarabt (90+3')