Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 74.52%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 9.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 3-0 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.