Taca da Liga
Dec 14, 2022 8.45pm
1
2
HT :
1
0
FT
Estádio Municipal José dos Santos Pinto
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fnaclog.png)
-
Gildo Vilanculos
40'
-
Rafael Vieira
53'
-
Bruno Gomes
87'
Sporting Covilha vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Sporting Covilha had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Sporting Covilha win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
Result
Sporting Covilha
28.14%
▲
(+0.34)
Draw
25.45%
▼
(-0.03)
Nacional
46.41%
▼
(-0.32)
Both Teams to Score:
53.02%
▲
(+0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.61%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 2.5
50.38%
▼
(-0.31)
Over 3.5
27.67%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 3.5
72.32%
▼
(-0.27)
Sporting Covilha Goals
Over 0.5
67.72%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 0.5
32.27%
▼
(-0.42)
Over 1.5
31.23%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 1.5
68.77%
▼
(-0.47)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
78.29%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
21.71%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
45.13%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
54.87%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Sporting Covilha
28.14%
Draw
25.45%
Nacional
46.41%
Sporting Covilha
1-0
@
7.92%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 28.14%
2-1 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 28.14%
Draw
1-1
@
12.1%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1% ▼ (-97.30)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.45%
0-0 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1% ▼ (-97.30)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.45%
Nacional
0-1
@
10.7%
▼
(-0.14)
1-2 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 46.41%
1-2 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 46.41%