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Benfica
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Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Portimonense

Braga
4 - 1
Portimonense

Ruiz (2'), Medeiros (32'), Niakate (38'), Horta (67')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Gomes (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-2 Nacional
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Portimonense

All competitions
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, April 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 76.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 8.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 3-0 (10.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawPortimonense
76.06% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)15.74% (0.014999999999999 0.01)8.2% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 42.86% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.97% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)42.03% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.56% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)64.43% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.68% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)9.32% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.56% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)31.43% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.26% (0.012999999999998 0.01)52.73% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)86.48% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Braga 76.04%
    Portimonense 8.2%
    Draw 15.74%
BragaDrawPortimonense
2-0 @ 13.83%
1-0 @ 11.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 6.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 3.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24%
5-1 @ 1.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.33%
6-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 76.04%
1-1 @ 7.46% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.91% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.83% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 15.74%
0-1 @ 3.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 2.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 8.2%

How you voted: Braga vs Portimonense

Braga
94.4%
Draw
5.6%
Portimonense
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 6pm
gameweek 13
Portimonense
1-2
Braga
Ouattara (40')
Cariello (44')
Medeiros (65' pen.), Oliveira (83')
Mar 20, 2022 8pm
gameweek 27
Portimonense
1-2
Braga
Carmo (63' og.)
Relvas (41')
Moura (5'), Couto (22')
Moura (89')
Nov 1, 2021 7pm
gameweek 10
Braga
3-0
Portimonense
Galeno (5', 53'), Gonzalez (90+1')
Medeiros (38'), Elmusrati (47'), Horta (80')

Sa (24'), Willyan (38'), Angulo (38'), Carlinhos (49'), Nakajima (55'), Aponza (80')
May 19, 2021 8pm
gameweek 34
Portimonense
0-0
Braga

Beto (14'), Possignolo (35'), Boa Morte (41'), Willyan (90+2')
Feb 4, 2021 9pm
gameweek 17
Braga
2-1
Portimonense
Piazon (62'), Horta (73' pen.)
Boa Morte (23')
Ewerton (60'), Henrique (90+2')