Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Feb 4, 2021 at 9pm UK

Estadio Municipal

Braga
2 - 1
Portimonense

Piazon (62'), Horta (73' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Boa Morte (23')
Ewerton (60'), Henrique (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 67.78%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 12.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.26%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Portimonense
67.78%	19.99%	12.23%

Both teams to score 44.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.01%

48.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.92%

71.08%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.53%

13.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.53%

40.47%

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.86%

49.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.95%

84.05%

Score Analysis

Braga 67.77%

Portimonense 12.23%

Draw 19.99%

Braga	Draw	Portimonense
2-0 @ 13.3% 1-0 @ 13.26% 2-1 @ 9.45% 3-0 @ 8.89% 3-1 @ 6.32% 4-0 @ 4.46% 4-1 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.24% 5-0 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.51% Total : 67.77%	1-1 @ 9.43% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 3.36% Other @ 0.58% Total : 19.99%	0-1 @ 4.7% 1-2 @ 3.35% 0-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.51% Total : 12.23%