Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 23, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Portimão

Portimonense
1 - 0
Gil Vicente

Mauricio (48')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Portimonense
Saturday, April 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Braga 1-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, April 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Gil Vicente
42.69% ( 0.28)	25.41% ( -0.07)	31.91% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 55.24% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.56% (

0.26)

48.44% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.43% (

0.23)

70.57% (

-0.23)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.39% (

0.25)

22.61% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.78% (

0.36)

56.22% (

-0.36)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.38% (

-0.01)

28.62% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.58% (

-0.01)

64.43% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 42.69%

Gil Vicente 31.91%

Draw 25.4%

Portimonense	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.69%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.91%