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Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 15, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Portimonense

Estoril
0 - 1
Portimonense

FT(HT: 0-0)
Cariello (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last Game: Braga 4-1 Estoril
Saturday, April 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Portimonense

All competitions
Last Game: Portimonense 2-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, April 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawPortimonense
43.96% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)25.42% (0.030000000000001 0.03)30.62% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.6% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.99% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)49.01% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.91% (-0.084 -0.08)71.09% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)22.25% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.31% (-0.129 -0.13)55.69% (0.129 0.13)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.23%29.77% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.85% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 43.96%
    Portimonense 30.62%
    Draw 25.42%
Estoril PraiaDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.96%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.62% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.86% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 30.62%

How you voted: Estoril vs Portimonense

Estoril Praia
68.2%
Draw
22.7%
Portimonense
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 3.30pm
Portimonense
1-1
Estoril
Junior (88' pen.)
Jocu (24')
Erison (22')
Mar 12, 2022 3.30pm
Estoril
2-0
Portimonense
Mboula (29'), Geraldes (46')
Ferraresi (57'), Franco (84'), Rosier (90+3')

Da Costa (36'), Sa (55'), Junior (90')
Oct 24, 2021 8.30pm
Portimonense
0-2
Estoril

Junior (62')
Franco (59'), Lourenco (72')
Soria (68'), Gamboa (84'), Lourenco (85')
Apr 14, 2018 4pm
Portimonense
0-1
Estoril

Sa (84')
Halliche (42')
Ribeiro (77'), Dankler (95'), Fonseca (97')
Andrade (77')
Dec 4, 2017 8pm
Estoril
0-0
Portimonense

Joel (80')

Hackman (31'), Possignolo (34'), Tabata (81')