Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Braga |
| 29.3% ( | 25.95% ( | 44.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.19% ( | 51.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.43% ( | 73.57% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.86% ( | 32.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.38% ( | 68.62% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.92% ( | 23.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.09% ( | 56.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 2-0 @ 4.78% ( 3-1 @ 2.65% ( 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 3-0 @ 1.81% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.3% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 10.87% ( 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0-2 @ 7.97% ( 1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0-3 @ 3.9% ( 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 2-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.74% |