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Estoril
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Boavista
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Bessa Século XXI
Estoril

Boavista
1 - 0
Estoril

Mangas (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boavista

All competitions
Last Game: Porto 1-0 Boavista
Sunday, April 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last Game: Estoril 3-0 Santa Clara
Sunday, April 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 64.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 15.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.

Result
BoavistaDrawEstoril Praia
64.15% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)20.46% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)15.4% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 50.89% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.74% (0.066000000000003 0.07)44.25% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.37% (0.062999999999995 0.06)66.63% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.92% (0.0039999999999907 0)13.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.31% (0.0039999999999978 0)39.69% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.56% (0.108 0.11)41.44% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.05% (0.096 0.1)77.95% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Boavista 64.14%
    Estoril Praia 15.4%
    Draw 20.46%
BoavistaDrawEstoril Praia
2-0 @ 11.21% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 64.14%
1-1 @ 9.71% (0.0029999999999983 0)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.46%
0-1 @ 4.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.28% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.26% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 15.4%

Head to Head
Feb 9, 2023 6pm
gameweek 14
Estoril
2-1
Boavista
Araujo (49'), Gouveia (76')
Mexer (55'), Alvaro (58')
Njie (4')
Vukotic (45'), Reisinho (86')
Camara (41')
Feb 27, 2022 6pm
gameweek 24
Estoril
2-3
Boavista
Vital (6'), Acevedo (54' pen.)
Gamboa (60'), Coly (88')
Musa (20'), Abascal (49'), Santos (85')
Santos (51'), Njie (66'), Sauer (88'), Porozo (89')
Sep 27, 2021 9.15pm
gameweek 7
Boavista
1-1
Estoril
Sauer (24' pen.)
Gorre (45+2'), Ferreira (76'), Beiranvand (90+6')
Franco (71')
Chiquinho (68'), Joaozinho (87')
Mar 10, 2018 8.30pm
Boavista
1-0
Estoril
Simao (85' pen.)
Henrique (12'), Simao (42'), Carraca (87')

Allano (54'), Ribeiro (76'), Dankler (81')
Oct 20, 2017 8.30pm
Estoril
0-3
Boavista

Eduardo (54'), Brandao (82')
Carraca (20'), Pedro (33'), Kuca (90')
Simao (22'), Sparagna (31'), Vagner (36'), Raphael (66')
rhs 2.0


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