Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 64.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 15.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Estoril Praia |
64.15% ( -0.06) | 20.46% ( 0.01) | 15.4% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 50.89% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.74% ( 0.07) | 44.25% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.37% ( 0.06) | 66.63% ( -0.06) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.92% ( 0) | 13.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.31% ( 0) | 39.69% ( -0) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.56% ( 0.11) | 41.44% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.05% ( 0.1) | 77.95% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Estoril Praia |
2-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.05% Total : 64.14% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.46% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 15.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 8 | 32 | 33 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 11 |
15 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Nacional | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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