Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 30, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
3 - 0
Santa Clara

Marques (17'), Eduardo (34' pen.), Martins (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, April 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Santa Clara

All competitions

Last Game: Santa Clara 1-1 Chaves
Sunday, April 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 48.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Santa Clara
48.55% ( 0.43)	26.64% ( -0.05)	24.81% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 46.91% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.94% (

-0.1)

57.06% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.06% (

-0.08)

77.95% (

0.08)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.44% (

0.16)

23.56% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.38% (

0.23)

57.63% (

-0.23)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.37% (

-0.4)

38.63% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.63% (

-0.39)

75.38% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 48.54%

Santa Clara 24.82%

Draw 26.63%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Santa Clara
1-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 48.54%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.63%	0-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.53% Total : 24.82%