Taca da Liga | First Round
Jul 22, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
Chaves

AVS
1 - 1
Chaves

Nene (44')
Pacheco (65'), Alaba (72')
FT
(aet)
Correia (67')
Pinho (90+5'), Cruz (90+1')
AVS win 5-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Taca da Liga First Round clash between AVS and Chaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Chaves 1-4 Boavista
Saturday, May 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 90.9%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for AVS had a probability of 2.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-3 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.13%) and 0-4 (12.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.25%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (1%).

Result
AVSDrawChaves
2.05% (0.0049000000000001 0)7.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)90.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 29.91% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.04% (0.0040000000000049 0)29.96% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)51.14% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
31.12% (0.058 0.06)68.88% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.44% (0.021 0.02)94.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.1% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)3.9% (0.0011000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.46% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)16.54% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Score Analysis
    AVS 2.05%
    Chaves 90.89%
    Draw 7.06%
AVSDrawChaves
1-0 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 2.05%
1-1 @ 3.25% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 7.06%
0-3 @ 15.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 14.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 12.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-5 @ 8.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.7% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.27% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-4 @ 4.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-6 @ 4.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-5 @ 3% (0.004 0)
0-7 @ 2.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-6 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.004 0)
Other @ 4.67%
Total : 90.89%

rhs 2.0


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