Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Boavista |
| 44.18% ( | 25.64% ( | 30.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.89% ( | 50.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.92% ( | 72.07% ( |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% ( | 22.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.77% ( | 56.23% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.37% ( | 30.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.12% ( | 66.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chaves | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% ( 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 4-2 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 44.17% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 3-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0-3 @ 1.91% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 30.18% |