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Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Chaves

Rio Ave
2 - 0
Chaves

Acevedo (64' pen.), Manuel (90+8')
Pantalon (40'), Joca (73'), Savio (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Langa (14'), Nogueira (20'), Sylla (62')
Langa (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 2-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, July 30 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawChaves
38% (0.020000000000003 0.02)28.05% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)33.95% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.52% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.46% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)58.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.89% (0.0040000000000013 0)79.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)29.77% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15% (0.016999999999996 0.02)65.85% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)32.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.15% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)68.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 38%
    Chaves 33.94%
    Draw 28.04%
Rio AveDrawChaves
1-0 @ 11.66%
2-1 @ 7.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.07% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 38%
1-1 @ 13.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.63% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.04%
0-1 @ 10.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.94%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Chaves

Rio Ave
77.8%
Draw
22.2%
Chaves
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 22
Rio Ave
1-0
Chaves
Ronaldo (53')
Sep 5, 2022 9.15pm
Gameweek 5
Chaves
1-1
Rio Ave
Hernandez (32')
Acevedo (90')
Mar 8, 2019 8.30pm
Gameweek 25
Chaves
1-1
Rio Ave
Niltinho (82')
William (8'), Djavan (17'), Costinha (24'), Jefferson (35')
Semedo (27')
Augusto (8'), Galeno (33'), Tarantini (36'), Coentrao (40'), Leonardo (71'), Nadjack (72')
Augusto (22')
Oct 27, 2018 6pm
Gameweek 8
Rio Ave
1-0
Chaves
Galeno (66')
Lopes (77'), Galeno (93'), Coentrao (97')

Eustaquio (49'), Paulinho (58'), Perdigao (94')
Apr 29, 2018 4pm
Rio Ave
2-1
Chaves
Pele (66' pen., 80' pen.)
Geraldes (45'), Tarantini (51'), Marcelo (74'), Lopes (82'), Ribeiro (84'), Teixeira (96'), Cassio (96')
Pereira (94')
Duarte (26'), Eustaquio (60'), Paulinho (80'), Pereira (82'), William (99')
Perdigao (65'), Platiny (100')