Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Famalicao |
| 39.5% ( | 29.12% ( | 31.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.35% ( | 62.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.79% ( | 82.21% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.07% ( | 30.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.78% ( | 67.23% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.67% ( | 36.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.89% ( | 73.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 13.18% ( 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 3-1 @ 3.06% ( 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 3-2 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 39.49% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( 0-0 @ 11.23% ( 2-2 @ 3.97% ( Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.11% | 0-1 @ 11.37% ( 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0-2 @ 5.76% ( 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 2-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 31.38% |